TY - JOUR
T1 - Arms Transfers and International Behavior in the Arabian Sea Area
AU - Schrodt, Philip A.
N1 - Funding Information:
Parts of this research vere supported by the National Science foundation through a NATO Postdoctoral Fellowship at the Richardson Institute for Conflict and Peace Research, University of Lancaster, United Kingdom. Parts were also supported by a Faculty Research Grant from North-western University. My thanks to John V. Gillespie, Mike Squires and Barbara Hill for providing the machine readable version of the SIPRI data set. The COPDAB data utilized in this publication were made available by the Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research. Neither the collectors of the original data nor the Consortium bear any responsibility for the analyses or interpretations presented here.
PY - 1983/8
Y1 - 1983/8
N2 - International arms transfers to the major Arabian Sea nations reported by SIPRI for the period 1948-1978 are correlated with measures of international conflict and cooperation provided by the COPDAB events data summaries. In general the correlations between the two are found to be strong, with many correlations significant at the.001 level. The best predictor is the number of arms transfers, rather than the quantity of different types of weapons transferred. The order of the importance of various types of weapons (air, sea, land) is relatively consistent across different indicators. Correlations are highest with political and military conflict behavior, and generally higher for conflictual than for cooperative behavior. Generally transfers correlate with subsequent international behavior rather than previous international behavior. Within the Arabian Sea area, the correlations are strongest in the Middle East and weakest in the Horn of Africa. Correlations are generally higher when the transfer data is smoothed using a 3-year centered moving average, though unsmoothed data does almost as well.
AB - International arms transfers to the major Arabian Sea nations reported by SIPRI for the period 1948-1978 are correlated with measures of international conflict and cooperation provided by the COPDAB events data summaries. In general the correlations between the two are found to be strong, with many correlations significant at the.001 level. The best predictor is the number of arms transfers, rather than the quantity of different types of weapons transferred. The order of the importance of various types of weapons (air, sea, land) is relatively consistent across different indicators. Correlations are highest with political and military conflict behavior, and generally higher for conflictual than for cooperative behavior. Generally transfers correlate with subsequent international behavior rather than previous international behavior. Within the Arabian Sea area, the correlations are strongest in the Middle East and weakest in the Horn of Africa. Correlations are generally higher when the transfer data is smoothed using a 3-year centered moving average, though unsmoothed data does almost as well.
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U2 - 10.1080/03050628308434608
DO - 10.1080/03050628308434608
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84972822925
SN - 0305-0629
VL - 10
SP - 101
EP - 127
JO - International Interactions
JF - International Interactions
IS - 1
ER -