Checking out: 2018 congressional retirements and resignations in historical perspective

Hanna K. Brant, L. Marvin Overby

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter


In recent decades retirements/resignations have been a larger contributor to change in the composition of both chambers of Congress than have electoral defeats of incumbents. In this chapter, we consider the impact of retirements (and other forms of non-electoral exits) on the 2018 congressional midterms. Using multivariate models, we examine what factors correlate significantly with retirement decisions, test for a partisan differential in retirement rates (which previous work has found in the House but not the Senate), and compare the rates at which the parties are capable of replacing retirees with co-partisans. Our analysis allows the consideration on the on-going importance of members' career decisions for the composition of and the partisan balance of power in the US Congress. These career decisions could have substantial implications for the future of the Trump administration and the president's policy agenda.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationThe Unforeseen Impacts of the 2018 US Midterms
PublisherSpringer International Publishing
Number of pages20
ISBN (Electronic)9783030379407
ISBN (Print)9783030379391
StatePublished - Apr 7 2020

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • General Social Sciences


Dive into the research topics of 'Checking out: 2018 congressional retirements and resignations in historical perspective'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this