Comparing the performance of the ABC, AIMS65, GBS, and pRS scores in predicting 90-day mortality or rebleeding among emergency department patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding: A prospective multicenter study

Shuang Liu, Xiaoming Zhang, Joseph Harold Walline, Xuezhong Yu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

10 Scopus citations

Abstract

Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a common problem that can cause significant morbidity and mortality. We aimed to compare the performance of the ABC score (ABC), the AIMS65 score (AIMS65), the Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), and the pre-endoscopic Rockall score (pRS) in predicting 90-day mortality or rebleeding among patients with acute UGIB. This was a prospective multicenter study conducted at 20 tertiary hospitals in China. Data were collected between June 30, 2020 and February 10, 2021. An area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis was used to compare the performance of the four scores in predicting 90-day mortality or rebleeding. Among the 1072 patients included during the study period, the overall 90-day mortality rate was 10.91% (117/1072) and the rebleeding rate was 12.03% (129/1072). In predicting 90-day mortality, the ABC and pRS scores performed better with an AUC of 0.722 (95% CI 0.675-0.768; P<0.001) and 0.711 (95% CI 0.663-0.757; P<0.001), respectively, compared to the AIMS-65 (AUC, 0.672; 95% CI, 0.624-0.721; P<0.001) and GBS (AUC, 0.624; 95% CI, 0.569-0.679; P<0.001) scores. In predicting rebleeding in 90 days, the AUC of all scores did not exceed 0.70. In patients with acute UGIB, ABC and pRS performed better than AIMS-65 and GBS in predicting 90-day mortality. The performance of each score is not satisfactory in predicting rebleeding, however. Newer predictive models are needed to predict rebleeding after UGIB.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)114-122
Number of pages9
JournalJournal of Translational Internal Medicine
Volume9
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 1 2021

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Internal Medicine

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Comparing the performance of the ABC, AIMS65, GBS, and pRS scores in predicting 90-day mortality or rebleeding among emergency department patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding: A prospective multicenter study'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this