Confronting Price Endogeneity in a Duration Model of Residential Subdivision Development

Douglas H. Wrenn, H. Allen Klaiber, David A. Newburn

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

11 Scopus citations


Spatial equilibrium implies that distant factors are correlated with local prices through market mechanisms. Using this logic, we develop a novel approach for handling price endogeneity in land use models. We combine a control function approach with a duration model to identify the impact of prices in influencing land conversion. We find that failure to control for endogeneity results in large differences in elasticities. Specifically, we find an elasticity of 2.06 compared to 0.67 in a model without instrumentation. This difference is significant as it suggests that price-based policies, such as ‘green taxes’, are likely more effective in altering development patterns than would be expected from a naïve estimation that ignores price endogeneity.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)661-682
Number of pages22
JournalJournal of Applied Econometrics
Issue number3
StatePublished - Apr 1 2017

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
  • Economics and Econometrics


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