Contribution of the location and spatial pattern of initial error to uncertainties in El Nio predictions

Keyphrases

• El Nio 100%
• Eastern Pacific 100%
• Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation 100%
• Central Equatorial Pacific 80%
• Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly 80%
• Prediction Error 60%
• Sea Surface Temperature 40%
• Thermocline 40%
• Annual Mean 40%
• Prediction Time 40%
• Dipole Pattern 40%
• Error Growth 20%
• Dipole Structure 20%
• Mean State 20%
• Zebiak-Cane Model 20%
• Observation Instrument 20%

Earth and Planetary Sciences

• Sea Surface Temperature 100%
• Temperature Anomaly 66%
• Thermocline 33%
• Random Error 16%