Drivers of Global Clear Sky Surface Downwelling Longwave Irradiance Trends From 1984 to 2017

J. P. Clark, E. E. Clothiaux, S. B. Feldstein, S. Lee

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

7 Scopus citations

Abstract

Radiation changes at the Earth's surface alter climate, however, the causes of observed surface radiation changes are not precisely quantified globally. With complete global coverage by ERA-Interim, the drivers of the clear sky surface downwelling longwave irradiance (SDLI) trends from 1984 to 2017 are quantifiable everywhere. Trends in atmospheric temperature and water vapor contributed significantly (∼90%) to clear sky SDLI trends, including trends consistent with Arctic warming and Southern Ocean cooling. CO2 contributed ∼10% and other greenhouse gases (CH4, N2O, CFC-11, and CFC-12) ∼1% to the SDLI trends. These observation-based results are consistent with early CO2-doubling climate model calculations wherein temperature and water vapor changes drove ∼90% of the SDLI change. The well-mixed greenhouse gases drive location-dependent SDLI trends that are strongest over regions with climatologically high temperatures and low water vapor amounts.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numbere2021GL093961
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume48
Issue number22
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 28 2021

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Geophysics
  • General Earth and Planetary Sciences

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