Forecasting the Number of Tenants At-Risk of Formal Eviction: A Machine Learning Approach to Inform Public Policy

Maryam Tabar, Wooyong Jung, Amulya Yadav, Owen Wilson Chavez, Ashley Flores, Dongwon Lee

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

Eviction of tenants has reached a crisis level in the U.S. and its consequences pose significant challenges to society. To tackle this eviction crisis, policymakers have been allocating financial resources but a more efficient resource allocation would need an accurate forecast of the number of tenants at-risk of evictions ahead of time. To help enhance the existing eviction prevention/diversion programs, in this work, we propose a multi-view deep neural network model, named as MARTIAN, that forecasts the number of tenants at-risk of getting formally evicted (at the census tract level) n months into the future. Then, we evaluate MARTIAN's predictive performance under various conditions using real-world eviction cases filed across Dallas County, TX. The results of empirical evaluation show that MARTIAN outperforms an extensive set of baseline models in terms of predictive performance. Additionally, MARTIAN's superior predictive performance is generalizable to unseen census tracts, for which no labeled data is available in the training set. This research has been done in collaboration with Child Poverty Action Lab (CPAL), which is a pioneering non-governmental organization (NGO) working for tackling poverty-related issues across Dallas County, TX. The usability of MARTIAN is under review by subject matter experts. We release our codebase at https://github.com/maryam-tabar/MARTIAN.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 31st International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2022
EditorsLuc De Raedt, Luc De Raedt
PublisherInternational Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence
Pages5178-5184
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9781956792003
StatePublished - 2022
Event31st International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2022 - Vienna, Austria
Duration: Jul 23 2022Jul 29 2022

Publication series

NameIJCAI International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence
ISSN (Print)1045-0823

Conference

Conference31st International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2022
Country/TerritoryAustria
CityVienna
Period7/23/227/29/22

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Artificial Intelligence

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