How offender decision-making can inform policing: A focus on the perceived certainty of apprehension

Chae M. Jaynes; Thomas A. Loughran

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-41287-6_1

How offender decision-making can inform policing: A focus on the perceived certainty of apprehension

Chae M. Jaynes
, Thomas A. Loughran

Sociology and Criminology

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

Empirical evidence suggests that the perceived certainty of apprehension is a far more effective deterrent than the severity of sanctioning. In concordance with this, many policing strategies have focused on increasing the certainty of apprehension as a key tactic in crime reduction. This chapter describes how recent advances in criminological understanding of perceived certainty are thought to influence offender decision-making. We then illustrate how these findings may inform policing and suggest potential avenues for collaborations between researchers and practitioners to further enhance understanding of offender decision-making and guide evidence-based policing.

Original language	English (US)
Title of host publication	Advanced Sciences and Technologies for Security Applications
Publisher	Springer
Pages	3-18
Number of pages	16
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-41287-6_1
State	Published - 2020

Publication series

Name	Advanced Sciences and Technologies for Security Applications
ISSN (Print)	1613-5113
ISSN (Electronic)	2363-9466

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
Safety Research
Political Science and International Relations
Computer Science Applications
Computer Networks and Communications
Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis

Access to Document

10.1007/978-3-030-41287-6_1

Cite this

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abstract = "Empirical evidence suggests that the perceived certainty of apprehension is a far more effective deterrent than the severity of sanctioning. In concordance with this, many policing strategies have focused on increasing the certainty of apprehension as a key tactic in crime reduction. This chapter describes how recent advances in criminological understanding of perceived certainty are thought to influence offender decision-making. We then illustrate how these findings may inform policing and suggest potential avenues for collaborations between researchers and practitioners to further enhance understanding of offender decision-making and guide evidence-based policing.",

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AB - Empirical evidence suggests that the perceived certainty of apprehension is a far more effective deterrent than the severity of sanctioning. In concordance with this, many policing strategies have focused on increasing the certainty of apprehension as a key tactic in crime reduction. This chapter describes how recent advances in criminological understanding of perceived certainty are thought to influence offender decision-making. We then illustrate how these findings may inform policing and suggest potential avenues for collaborations between researchers and practitioners to further enhance understanding of offender decision-making and guide evidence-based policing.

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How offender decision-making can inform policing: A focus on the perceived certainty of apprehension

Abstract

Publication series

UN SDGs

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

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