Idiosyncratic Risk of House Prices: Evidence from 26 Million Home Sales

Liang Peng, Thomas G. Thibodeau

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

24 Scopus citations


This paper uses about 26 million home sales to measure house price idiosyncratic risk for 7,580 U.S. zip codes during three periods: (1) when the U.S. housing market was stable (1996–2000), (2) booming (2001–2007) and (3) busting (2007–2012), and investigates the determinants of house price risk. We find very strong relationships between risk and some basic housing market characteristics. There is a U-shaped relationship between risk and zip-code level median household income; risk is higher in zip codes with more appreciation volatility; and risk is not compensated with higher appreciation.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)340-375
Number of pages36
JournalReal Estate Economics
Issue number2
StatePublished - Jun 1 2017

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Accounting
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics


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