Market sentiment and mutual fund trading strategies

Nelson Lacey, Qiang Bu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


Based on a sample of the US equity funds, this paper investigates the performance of both follow-the-leader (momentum) and follow-the-loser (contrarian) trading strategies. We find that similar fund styles tend to be the biggest winners and the biggest losers, and that the follow-the-leader strategy outperforms the follow-the-loser strategy. However, the follow-the-loser strategy beats both the market and the follow-the-leader strategy in major down markets. Using a piecewise linear regression, we also document a relationship between the market and our two trading strategies. Our study suggests that behavioral factors play an important role for funds with extreme performance.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)208-214
Number of pages7
JournalProblems and Perspectives in Management
Issue number3
StatePublished - 2010

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Business and International Management
  • General Business, Management and Accounting
  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Public Administration
  • Strategy and Management
  • Information Systems and Management
  • Law


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