TY - GEN
T1 - Occupational safety implications of the changing energy mix
AU - Gernand, Jeremy M.
N1 - Funding Information:
I am grateful for the insightful conversations I have had with Dr. Jeffrey Brownson that inspired parts of this work. I would also like to acknowledge the support of the John and Willie Leone Family Department of Energy and Mineral Engineering. No external funding supported this work.
Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © 2018 ASME
Copyright:
Copyright 2019 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2018
Y1 - 2018
N2 - Renewable energy and natural gas are displacing coal and nuclear power in many parts of the world as sources of electricity. While, the environmental benefits of such changes seem clear, the impact on worker safety, especially in developed nations is less clear. Coal mining is a relatively dangerous occupation, though one that has grown significantly safer in recent decades. Manufacturing and installation of solar photovoltaic (PV) power may pose less risk to workers on a per hour basis, but the number of worker hours necessary to generate a Megawatt-hour of electricity is currently higher for solar PV than it is for coal-generated power. The implications for the overall occupational burden of accidental deaths and injuries has not been previously detailed. This paper presents the results of a Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis for changes in total worker injuries and injury rates under different assumptions for the future energy mix in developed nations. Projections from the Energy Information Agency (EIA) and other organizations together with documented productivity gains for the various energy industries provide test cases for this analysis. The analysis indicates that future occupational fatality and injury burden of the energy sector is highly dependent on improvements in safety in the expanding industries, while specific projections on the share of specific technologies is less critical. This result highlights the need to invest in occupational risk mitigation in these industries.
AB - Renewable energy and natural gas are displacing coal and nuclear power in many parts of the world as sources of electricity. While, the environmental benefits of such changes seem clear, the impact on worker safety, especially in developed nations is less clear. Coal mining is a relatively dangerous occupation, though one that has grown significantly safer in recent decades. Manufacturing and installation of solar photovoltaic (PV) power may pose less risk to workers on a per hour basis, but the number of worker hours necessary to generate a Megawatt-hour of electricity is currently higher for solar PV than it is for coal-generated power. The implications for the overall occupational burden of accidental deaths and injuries has not been previously detailed. This paper presents the results of a Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis for changes in total worker injuries and injury rates under different assumptions for the future energy mix in developed nations. Projections from the Energy Information Agency (EIA) and other organizations together with documented productivity gains for the various energy industries provide test cases for this analysis. The analysis indicates that future occupational fatality and injury burden of the energy sector is highly dependent on improvements in safety in the expanding industries, while specific projections on the share of specific technologies is less critical. This result highlights the need to invest in occupational risk mitigation in these industries.
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U2 - 10.1115/IMECE2018-86678
DO - 10.1115/IMECE2018-86678
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:85060382057
T3 - ASME International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition, Proceedings (IMECE)
BT - Design, Reliability, Safety, and Risk
PB - American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
T2 - ASME 2018 International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition, IMECE 2018
Y2 - 9 November 2018 through 15 November 2018
ER -