Optimal timing of disease transmission in an age-structured population

Timothy C. Reluga, Jan Medlock, Eric Poolman, Alison P. Galvani

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

18 Scopus citations

Abstract

It is a common medical folk-practice for parents to encourage their children to contract certain infectious diseases while they are young. This folk-practice is controversial, in part, because it contradicts the long-term public health goal of minimizing disease incidence. We study an epidemiological model of infectious disease in an age-structured population where virulence is age-dependent and show that, in some cases, the optimal behavior will increase disease transmission. This provides a rigorous justification of the concept of "endemic stability," and demonstrates that folk-practices may have been historically justified.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)2711-2722
Number of pages12
JournalBulletin of Mathematical Biology
Volume69
Issue number8
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2007

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • General Neuroscience
  • Immunology
  • General Mathematics
  • General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
  • General Environmental Science
  • Pharmacology
  • General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
  • Computational Theory and Mathematics

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