Pde model for multi-patch epidemic models with migration and infection-age dependent infectivity

Guodong Pang, Étienne Pardoux

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

We study a stochastic epidemic model with multiple patches (locar tions), where individuals in each patch are categorized into three compartments, Susceptible, Infected and Recovered/Removed, and may migrate from one patch to another in any of the compartments. Each individual is associated with a random infectivity function which dictates the force of infection depending upon the age of infection (elapsed time since infection). We prove a functional law of large number for the epidemic evolution dynamics including the aggregate infec¬tivity process, the numbers of susceptible and recovered individuals as well as the number of infected individuals at each time that have been infected for a certain amount of time. From the limits, we derive a PDE model for the density of the number of infected individuals with respect to the infection age, which is a system of linear PDE equations with a boundary condition that is determined by a set of integral equations.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)863-897
Number of pages35
JournalPure and Applied Functional Analysis
Volume9
Issue number3
StatePublished - 2024

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Analysis
  • Applied Mathematics
  • Control and Optimization

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