Serial APACHE III scoring for acute renal failure in the intensive care unit

Severity stratification and prediction models are important tools for gauging outcomes in critically ill patients. However, most severity scoring systems are inaccurate when attempting to predict mortality in individuals with acute renal failure (ARF), including the APACHE (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) II scoring system. APACHE III scoring encompasses a greater array of physiologic parameters that may better correlate with outcome in ARF. We evaluated APACHE II and APACHE III scoring in 27 individuals admitted to the intensive acre unit (ICU) with ARF requiring dialysis. We also evaluated the predictive value of serial APACHE III scoring on mortality. Sixteen of the study subjects were discharged alive from the ICU. APACHE II scores for ICU survivors versus nonsurvivors were not significantly different at the outset of dialysis treatment, though they did discriminate between survivors and nonsurvivors at 48 hours (survivors 15 ± 6.2; nonsurvivors 18.1 ± 6.9; p = 0.019). However, average APACHE III scores for survivors were significantly less than those for nonsurvivors on all days of score collection, including at the outset of dialysis (day 0 survivors 94.7 ± 22.1; nonsurvivors 106.8 ± 21.7; p = 0.03). APACHE III scores on day 2 also discriminated between those who recovered renal function (83.6 ± 16.7) compared to those who did not (105.6 ± 21.4) (p = 0.05). Serial APACHE III scoring provided rapid and reproducible scoring that differentiated between survivors and nonsurvivors in a group of critically ill patients with ARF. This study suggests that further investigations are warranted to confirm whether serial APACHE III scoring should be considered as an adjunct clinical tool in caring for individuals with ARF in the ICU.