TY - JOUR
T1 - Seven deadly sins of contemporary quantitative political analysis
AU - Schrodt, Philip A.
N1 - Funding Information:
Article originally prepared for the theme panel ‘A Sea Change in Political Methodology?’ at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, 2–5 September 2010. This article has benefited from discussions with David Collier, Patrick Brandt, Hudson Meadwell, and John Freeman, as well as various conversations at subsequent presentations of the work and feedback from JPR reviewers. These individuals bear no responsibility for either the content or the presentation. Particularly the presentation. This research was supported in part by a grant from the US National Science Foundation (SES-1004414). A more extended version of this article, and related discussions, can be found at http://7DS.parusanalytics.com .
PY - 2014/3
Y1 - 2014/3
N2 - A combination of technological change, methodological drift and a certain degree of intellectual sloth, particularly with respect to philosophy of science, has allowed contemporary quantitative political analysis to accumulate a series of dysfunctional habits that have rendered much of contemporary research more or less meaningless. I identify these 'seven deadly sins' as: Garbage can models that ignore the effects of collinearity; Pre-scientific explanation in the absence of prediction; Excessive reanalysis of a small number of datasets; Using complex methods without understanding the underlying assumptions; Interpreting frequentist statistics as if they were Bayesian; A linear statistical monoculture that fails to consider alternative structures; Confusing statistical controls and experimental controls. The answer to these problems is not to abandon quantitative approaches, but rather engage in solid, thoughtful, original work driven by an appreciation of both theory and data. The article closes with suggestions for changes in current practice that might serve to ameliorate some of these problems.
AB - A combination of technological change, methodological drift and a certain degree of intellectual sloth, particularly with respect to philosophy of science, has allowed contemporary quantitative political analysis to accumulate a series of dysfunctional habits that have rendered much of contemporary research more or less meaningless. I identify these 'seven deadly sins' as: Garbage can models that ignore the effects of collinearity; Pre-scientific explanation in the absence of prediction; Excessive reanalysis of a small number of datasets; Using complex methods without understanding the underlying assumptions; Interpreting frequentist statistics as if they were Bayesian; A linear statistical monoculture that fails to consider alternative structures; Confusing statistical controls and experimental controls. The answer to these problems is not to abandon quantitative approaches, but rather engage in solid, thoughtful, original work driven by an appreciation of both theory and data. The article closes with suggestions for changes in current practice that might serve to ameliorate some of these problems.
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U2 - 10.1177/0022343313499597
DO - 10.1177/0022343313499597
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84897782017
SN - 0022-3433
VL - 51
SP - 287
EP - 300
JO - Journal of Peace Research
JF - Journal of Peace Research
IS - 2
ER -