Study develops Fayetteville shale reserves, production forecast

John Browning, Scott W. Tinker, Svetlana Ikonnikova, Gürcan Gülen, Eric Potter, Qilong Fu, Katie Smye, Susan Horvath, Tad Patzek, Frank Male, Forrest Roberts

Research output: Contribution to specialist publicationArticle

26 Scopus citations

Abstract

A study of reserve and production potential for the Fayetteville shale in north central Arkansas, forecasts a cumulative 18 tcf of economically recoverable reserves by 2050, with production declining to about 400 bcf/year by 2030 from the current peak of about 950 bcf/year. The forecast suggests the formation will continue to be a major contributor to US natural gas production. The study assesses natural gas production potential in six productivity tiers and uses those tiers to forecast future production. Well economics vary greatly across the basin as a function of productivity, well and other costs, and geology. The study's production forecast model accounts for this granularity, as well as for distributions around natural gas price, drilling cost, economic limit of each well, advances in technology, and many other geologic, engineering, and economic parameters, in order to determine how much natural gas operators will be able to extract economically from future wells in the field.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages64-73
Number of pages10
Volume112
No1
Specialist publicationOil and Gas Journal
StatePublished - Jan 6 2014

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Fuel Technology
  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Study develops Fayetteville shale reserves, production forecast'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this