Tractable Term Structure Models

Bruno Feunou, Jean S.ebastien Fontaine, Anh Le, Christian Lundblad

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations


We introduce a new framework that facilitates term structure modeling with both positive interest rates and flexible time series dynamics but that is also tractable, meaning amenable to quick and robust estimation. Using both simulations and U.S. historical data, we compare our approach with benchmark Gaussian and stochastic volatility models as well as a shadow rate model that enforces positive interest rates. Our approach, which remains arbitrarily close to arbitrage free, offers a more accurate characterization of bond Sharpe ratios because of a better fit of the volatility dynamics and a more efficient estimation of the return dynamics. Further, the shadow rate and stochastic volatility models exhibit important restrictions that are largely absent in our approach.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)8411-8429
Number of pages19
JournalManagement Science
Issue number11
StatePublished - Nov 2022

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Strategy and Management
  • Management Science and Operations Research


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